Probability and the Cultivation of Uncertainty

  • Michael Smithson
Part of the Cognitive Science book series (COGNITIVE SCIEN)


If there is any approach to ignorance that bears a creditable claim to generalizability and rationality simultaneously, it is probability. Virtually all modern accounts of uncertainty refer to the concept and theory of probability as a benchmark. However, it is crucial to realize that probability theory actually consists of a cluster of competing approaches, each of which claims either exclusive or universal status as the one true theory. The differences among these theories are considered fundamental by many probabilists, especially the division between the so-called ‘objective’ and ‘subjective’ approaches.


Prior Distribution Subjective Probability Quantitative Probability Legal Profession Probability Judgment 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.


Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag New York Inc. 1989

Authors and Affiliations

  • Michael Smithson
    • 1
  1. 1.Department of Behavioral SciencesJames Cook University of North QueenslandTownsvilleAustralia

Personalised recommendations