Vote Functions in France and the 2002 Election Forecast

  • Eric Dubois
  • Christine Fauvelle-Aymar
Part of the French Politics, Society and Culture Series book series (FPSC)


The 2002 French elections which, at least for the presidential first-ballot vote, surprised most commentators is a good occasion to take an in-depth look at the vote function literature applied to the French case. The vote function methodology has been used in France to explain election outcomes for more than 25 years. The first paper was the study of Rosa and Amson (1976) devoted to the empirical analysis of the vote for left party candidates, that was then considered as a purely protest vote. Since this first study, the political situation as well as the economic situation has changed a lot. What have we learnt in those 25 years?


Presidential Election Vote Share Absolute Mean Error Legislative Election Seat Share 
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© Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited 2004

Authors and Affiliations

  • Eric Dubois
  • Christine Fauvelle-Aymar

There are no affiliations available

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